Ardmore, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

729
FXUS64 KOUN 292326
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
626 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 623 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

- Hot and breezy conditions to continue this week.

- Very low chances for thunderstorms across far western Oklahoma
  during the evening hours today & Tuesday; strong-damaging winds
  possible.

- Early signs for upcoming holiday weekend: Continued hot
  temperatures and low chances for rain/storms (north/west
  Oklahoma).

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

The hot, windy and very low storm risk (far western Oklahoma)
pattern continues as we begin a new work week. Afternoon heat
indices will again peak in the 100-105 F range today, though
spatiotemporal extent of headline-worthy readings is expected to
remain limited, and confined to far northern Oklahoma. Breezy
south-southwesterly winds will also aid in keeping WBGT risk in
check (low-moderate category) through sunset.

While storm activity the past few evenings has remained quite
limited, and confined strictly to the Texas Panhandle, we look to
introduce slightly higher (still ~20%) chances for storms near the
100th meridian later this evening. Strong-damaging wind gusts
will be possible, especially if deeper thunderstorm cores can
develop/persist near the Texas Panhandle/Oklahoma border.

Ungar

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tuesday through Wednesday night)
Issued at 200 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

Our hot and breezy weather pattern will persist for much of the
upcoming week, as the region remains placed between an upper
ridge across the Tennessee Valley and slowly-dissipating upper
trough across the Intermountain West. Seasonable (mid to
upper-90s) temperatures and continued breezy conditions will offer
generally sub-105 F heat indices/low-moderate WBGT risk on
Tuesday and Wednesday. Perhaps the most concerning aspect of early
week heat will be continued warm temperatures during the
nighttime hours, with potential for record "warm lows", especially
in Oklahoma on Wednesday morning.

Diurnal convective chances will persist near and east of a thermal
ridge/weak dryline feature from far western Oklahoma into the Texas
Panhandle. Most areas will remain dry, though some residual
storms/strong wind potential may approach our area each evening near
and after sunset.

Ungar

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Sunday)
Issued at 157 AM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

High temperatures trend upward Thursday through Saturday as mid-level
heights rise with the expansion of the ridge across the southern two-
thirds of the country. Highs of 100 to 105 degrees are forecast to be
widespread by July 4th with low chances of showers and thunderstorms
returning late Friday and into the weekend. A cold front could move
into northern Oklahoma late Saturday or early Sunday which will dial
down the intensity of the heat just a bit on Sunday.

Thompson

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 625 PM CDT Mon Jun 29 2026

VFR conditions are expected to continue through the TAF period.

Isolated to scattered thunderstorms in the Texas panhandle will
approach western Oklahoma this evening. However, these
thunderstorms will likely dissipate before they impact KWWR and
KCSM.

Otherwise, breezy southerly winds will continue with a slight
decrease in wind gusts this evening. A strengthening low-level
jet will result in low-level wind shear (LLWS).

Mahale

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  77  94  76  95 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         77  96  75  96 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  76  97  75  97 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           79  96  76  96 /  30  20  20   0
Ponca City OK     78  93  76  94 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         77  94  78  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...09
SHORT TERM...09
LONG TERM....01
AVIATION...10